David Schlotthauer shares his latest winter weather forecast for the 2023–2024 winter season.
Looks like this winter will be very different vs past winters because of one thing…….El Nino. But how will El Nino Impact this winter and why will it not be normal simultaneously?
El Niño Forecasted For Winter 2023 -2024
El Niño, a climate phenomenon characterized by periodic warming of sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean, exerts far-reaching effects on North American winters. Its influence on the continent varies depending on the strength, timing, and interplay with other atmospheric and oceanic factors.
During El Niño events, the southern United States, including the Gulf Coast and Southeast, typically experiences warmer and wetter conditions, resulting in above-average rainfall and increased flood risks. Conversely, the northern United States, such as the northern Plains and Midwest, often sees milder winter temperatures and reduced snowfall.
The subtropical jet stream is strengthened by El Niño, leading to elevated storminess and more rainfall across the southern U.S., along with an increased likelihood of severe weather events, including tornadoes. On the other hand, parts of the northern Rockies and Pacific Northwest tend to experience diminished snowfall and milder winters during El Niño events.
In the southwestern United States, El Niño often exacerbates drought conditions due to drier-than-average weather patterns. These impacts are general trends associated with El Niño, but the specifics can vary between events. To obtain region-specific and detailed information on how a particular El Niño event may affect a specific area, it is advisable to consult local meteorological agencies or weather forecasts.